Q: 三张信封(A,B,C),只有一封有$10000。你可以任选其中一封,譬如B,剩下两封必有一 封为空,譬如A,现在取走A,剩下两封。 问:你是stick to你的选择(B),还是选择剩下的另外那封(C)?
A: pick C.
p(B=$) = 1/3.
p(C=$) = 1 - p(B=$) - p(A=$) = 1 - 1/3 - 0 = 2/3
Showing posts with label probability. Show all posts
Showing posts with label probability. Show all posts
Thursday, August 28, 2008
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